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Polymarket wallet 0x377d17f789376dadb1475d49b8bd95c15c7ef71b · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,613 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,861 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellUS40¢ | $124 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellNo10¢ | $102 |
| 238d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellUS33¢ | $102 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo90¢ | $882 |
| 238d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS32¢ | $200 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,025 |
| 238d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes99¢ | $56 |
| 238d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes80¢ | $45 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes73¢ | $750 |
| 238d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes97¢ | $795 |
| 243d | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyYes3¢ | $110 |
| 243d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes22¢ | $110 |
| 250d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $123 |
| 250d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 250d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.