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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d |  scottilicious | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Odds5 | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 241d | Huludubu3 fills | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,836 | −$83 −1.2% | — |
| 242d |  ReverseBF | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 242d |  DFK | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 242d |  TeemuPukki | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
| 242d | Odds5 | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 242d | scottilicious | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,659 | +$154 +2.3% | 4 |
| 243d | Serene-Decision | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,700 | +$281 +2.1% | 4 |
| 243d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$40 +2.2% | 4 |
| 243d | Huludubu | US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,060 | +$940 +12% | 5 |
ImJustKen386 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. consulate (consulate general) in Guadalajara, Mexico, or a full evacuation of the consulate is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the consulate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.