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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,389 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,414 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 209,853 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,975 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,846 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,699 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.