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Polymarket wallet 0x38a572129c1efcbe183f2f4a06724d0fa73c087e · on Polymarket since Jul 15, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 312 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | BuyYes43¢ | $9 |
| 221d | Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? | SellYes10¢ | $4 |
| 263d | March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28? | BuyYes5¢ | $4 |
| 266d | Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $10 |
| 266d | March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28? | BuyYes13¢ | $30 |
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo34¢ | $49 |
| 269d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo23¢ | $33 |
| 269d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo98¢ | $18 |
| 288d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo83¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.