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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 94d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 113d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo64¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | SellYes3¢ | $2 |
| 120d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $1 |
| 120d | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 120d | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 120d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SellYes11¢ | $7 |
| 121d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 121d | Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp12¢ | $1 |
| 121d | Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.