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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | +2 pts | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $18.6K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | LJa7io23MCv954j | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 92¢ | $13,480 | +$217 +1.6% | — |
| 1d | M2sx92kljs42 | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 92¢ | $2,442 | +$39 +1.6% | — |
| 14d | StudentMoney3 fills | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 92¢ | $4,153 | −$180 −4.3% | — |
| 16d | Noname333 | December 31 | SellNo90¢ → 92¢ | $1,371 | −$23 −1.7% | — |
| 21d | WarriorH | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,083 | +$30 +2.8% | 22 |
| 21d |  paddaa6 fills | December 31 | SellNo76¢ → 92¢ | $10,292 | −$2,136 −21% | — |
| 22d |  BigRabbit | December 31 | SellYes14¢ → 9¢ | $1,471 | +$607 +41% | — |
| 22d | nedsta3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 92¢ | $5,628 | +$1,307 +23% | 37 |
| 31d |  Belgaron | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,190 | +$91 +7.6% | 23 |
| 47d |  GollumGekko | December 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 92¢ | $1,677 | +$150 +8.9% | 24 |
| 47d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | December 31 | BuyNo82¢ → 92¢ | $3,835 | +$444 +12% | 30 |
| 51d | Tend1esAdd1ction | December 31 | SellNo82¢ → 92¢ | $6,565 | −$726 −11% | — |
| 56d | paddaa5 fills | December 31 | BuyNo62¢ → 92¢ | $18,700 | +$8,702 +47% | 40 |
| 86d | StudentMoney2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo71¢ → 92¢ | $3,878 | +$1,110 +29% | 36 |
| 89d | buoys | December 31 | SellNo68¢ → 92¢ | $1,121 | −$387 −35% | — |
| 90d | LulaVaiPerder | December 31 | SellNo69¢ → 92¢ | $1,549 | −$501 −32% | — |
| 93d | bitcoinhold | December 31 | SellNo69¢ → 92¢ | $2,001 | −$653 −33% | — |
| 97d | LJa7io23MCv954j2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 92¢ | $10,029 | +$3,574 +36% | 40 |
| 100d | 0x8599…bace | December 31 | SellNo68¢ → 92¢ | $2,266 | −$786 −35% | — |
| 100d |  Bperil2 fills | December 31 | SellNo66¢ → 92¢ | $3,243 | −$1,238 −38% | — |
| 103d | LulaVaiPerder | December 31 | BuyNo71¢ → 92¢ | $1,024 | +$292 +29% | 24 |
| 115d | Teeming-Technician | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,973 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d |  Donny.T | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,406 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 116d | StudentMoney9 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $19,364 | +$4,377 +23% | 20 |
| 118d | Bet1nthedark2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$541 +15% | 20 |
| 118d | Wilted-Light-Norm | December 31 | SellNo52¢ → 92¢ | $2,842 | −$2,194 −77% | — |
| 119d |  Vanquish2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,982 | +$200 +3.4% | 20 |
| 119d | Tend1esAdd1ction | December 31 | BuyNo50¢ → 92¢ | $4,000 | +$3,291 +82% | 37 |
| 121d | paddaa | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 123d | wergsd | December 31 | SellNo52¢ → 92¢ | $1,638 | −$1,244 −76% | — |
| 123d | Noname333 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,353 | −$55 −2.4% | — |
| 124d | Wilted-Light-Norm | December 31 | BuyNo54¢ → 92¢ | $2,950 | +$2,086 +71% | 36 |
| 124d | StudentMoney3 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,828 | −$547 −7.0% | — |
| 125d |  elmcap2 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | +$40 +2.1% | 20 |
| 134d |  suraxy | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | −$251 −11% | — |
| 137d |  NoClueAtAll | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,210 | −$551 −13% | — |
| 140d | paddaa2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$707 +11% | 20 |
| 141d | jeremiahjer | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 25 |
| 141d | Lessgo123 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,306 | −$694 −13% | — |
| 142d | 0x8599…bace | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$113 −11% | — |
| 143d | wergsd | December 31 | BuyNo46¢ → 92¢ | $1,794 | +$1,775 +99% | 28 |
| 143d | sdhyky2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,951 | −$1,270 −18% | — |
| 144d |  zthunderfury | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$131 +11% | 20 |
| 144d | LJa7io23MCv954j | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$338 +14% | 20 |
| 144d | wqujvj | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,289 | +$580 +18% | 20 |
| 144d |  BBL-Drizzy | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 20 |
| 144d |  shingoWAKAYAMA | December 31 | BuyNo37¢ → 92¢ | $1,448 | +$2,164 +150% | 27 |
| 145d | Laurenman2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | +$518 +19% | 20 |
| 146d | asedgfers | December 31 | SellNo38¢ → 92¢ | $1,284 | −$1,808 −141% | — |
| 150d | TOPO852 fills | December 31 | BuyYes62¢ → 9¢ | $3,500 | −$3,021 −86% | 35 |
| 156d |  yungstalin2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $11,595 | −$2,173 −19% | — |
| 156d | hideo2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,399 | −$542 −23% | — |
| 157d | Detailed-Lip | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | −$376 −23% | — |
| 158d | danielleggerman2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,617 | +$1,233 +22% | 20 |
| 158d | jingsh | December 31 | SellNo41¢ → 92¢ | $18,040 | −$22,220 −123% | — |
| 158d | jingsh | December 31 | BuyNo41¢ → 92¢ | $18,040 | +$22,220 +123% | 45 |
| 159d | Belgaron2 fills | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$820 +28% | 20 |
| 160d |  tunatyler | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | −$912 −30% | — |
| 163d |  Melqui | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$235 +20% | 20 |
| 163d | kapay | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | −$333 −22% | — |
Intern.8,153 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.