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Polymarket wallet 0x3b63b93f6f40df92ad80e9cf35b3babc0ebf2c81 · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$3 −91% |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,478 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SellYes29¢ | $3 |
| 202d | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes62¢ | $3 |
| 254d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SellUp39¢ | $8 |
| 254d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $8 |
| 254d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SellDown57¢ | $77 |
| 254d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $58 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 266d | Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)? | BuyNo<1¢ | $4 |
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo24¢ | $50 |
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo35¢ | $70 |
| 268d | Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | SellNo79¢ | $201 |
| 269d | Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | BuyNo48¢ | $123 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.