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Polymarket wallet 0x3c0d68e261e313ea9afd966c134109b82d354d72 · on Polymarket since Jun 8, 2024 · also shown as Likable-Chapter
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 896 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 563 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 344 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 684 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$306 −100% |
| US-China trade deal before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,270 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$999 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 319d | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes11¢ | $100 |
| 368d | Will Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo18¢ | $100 |
| 534d | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyNo79¢ | $999 |
| 550d | Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? | BuyYes29¢ | $100 |
| 766d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes44¢ | $271 |
| 766d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes47¢ | $15 |
| 770d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes66¢ | $20 |
| 796d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $5 |
| 796d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | SellYes94¢ | $15 |
| 842d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | BuyYes62¢ | $10 |
| 842d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | SellYes61¢ | $25 |
| 852d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BuyYes24¢ | $10 |
| 868d | Fed rate cut by July 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.