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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +40 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529d | Brokenstig1 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,363 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 530d | WIMPSRAD | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 530d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 530d |  MEPP2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $7,363 | −$2,964 −40% | — |
| 530d | bc1234 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,960 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 530d |  George-Simian2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $29,505 | +$991 +3.4% | 20 |
| 530d |  Jenein | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,917 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 530d |  HNIC17 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $101,180 | +$32,448 +32% | 20 |
| 530d | CheemaY | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,861 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 530d |  MisTKy39 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $32,856 | +$4,191 +13% | 20 |
| 530d |  Car7 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $36,328 | +$15,131 +42% | 20 |
| 530d | LegendA | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,441 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 530d | rwo4 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,937 | +$799 +7.3% | 20 |
| 530d | slapbetcommissioner5 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $10,319 | −$2,782 −27% | — |
| 530d | SpikelMiders | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,701 | −$444 −9.4% | — |
| 530d |  Z17778 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $19,560 | +$3,213 +16% | 20 |
| 530d | pennycc3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellNo22¢ → 0¢ | $7,842 | +$7,842 +100% | — |
| 530d |  09433 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $26,481 | +$4,580 +17% | 20 |
| 530d | slapbetcommissioner11 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $17,781 | +$7,760 +44% | 20 |
| 530d |  Serega-pro2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $6,967 | −$6,197 −89% | — |
| 530d | nndmg | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | +$368 +19% | 20 |
| 530d | Sylaleva18 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$339 −22% | — |
| 530d | Drowerz3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $8,415 | −$1,961 −23% | — |
| 530d | Magestictrader | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$259 −18% | — |
| 530d | Sparkling-Command | US-China trade deal before June? | SellNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,633 | +$1,633 +100% | — |
| 530d |  Euan3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $4,264 | +$800 +19% | 20 |
| 530d | tradingZMoney | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | −$411 −18% | — |
| 530d | bonjouralan | US-China trade deal before June? | SellNo12¢ → 0¢ | $2,533 | +$2,533 +100% | — |
| 530d |  UwO3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$945 +17% | 20 |
| 530d |  chris.koutr | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | −$541 −19% | — |
| 530d |  FilippoBruno | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$180 −18% | — |
| 530d |  BFBB | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$175 −14% | — |
| 530d | Z17773 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellNo12¢ → 0¢ | $4,001 | +$4,001 +100% | — |
| 530d | iQuitPolimarket3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $13,413 | +$2,618 +20% | 20 |
| 530d |  poorpleb | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$190 +19% | 20 |
| 530d |  Minecraft | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$252 +20% | 20 |
| 530d |  WordleAddict | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$317 +22% | 20 |
| 530d |  praesagus8 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $19,151 | +$4,232 +22% | 20 |
| 530d | Z17776 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $8,996 | −$8,996 −100% | 31 |
| 530d |  DoneWithIt | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$573 −28% | — |
| 530d |  ciro23 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $14,289 | +$6,906 +48% | 20 |
| 530d |  dududududu2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $6,377 | +$2,126 +33% | 20 |
| 530d | Serega-pro3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$5,021 +70% | 20 |
| 530d | Dufu | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,616 | −$796 −49% | — |
| 530d |  llllllllIIIII2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,932 | −$3,932 −100% | 22 |
| 530d |  ScarletRot3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $6,874 | +$1,061 +15% | 20 |
| 530d | praesagus3 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $9,212 | −$2,987 −32% | — |
| 530d | jnawx | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,654 | +$444 +17% | 20 |
| 530d | TheMicroTrader001 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,865 | −$1,634 −28% | — |
| 530d | Car6 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $11,889 | −$6,271 −53% | — |
| 530d | Euan | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,822 | −$616 −13% | — |
| 530d | Lalaf2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $10,168 | −$1,497 −15% | — |
| 530d |  ultraviolence | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$156 −14% | — |
| 530d |  Tinitus | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$245 +12% | 20 |
| 530d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$406 −14% | — |
| 530d | Bink_72 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $2,934 | −$2,934 −100% | 26 |
| 530d |  sigh | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 20 |
| 530d |  mr.ozi2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,663 | −$1,773 −38% | — |
| 530d | Mikeyyyy09999 | US-China trade deal before June? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$254 −23% | — |
| 530d | AlexPro2 fills | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,584 | +$1,923 +42% | 20 |
soicowboy149,801 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between April 8, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.