Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x3daf263c030c508fcde7b4f055e3aaf208bd242d · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Fumbling-Tonality
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,133 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $9 |
| 234d | Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | BuyYes86¢ | $10 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $20 |
| 236d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes93¢ | $10 |
| 236d | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs | BuyTeam Secret Whales88¢ | $30 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
| 236d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes52¢ | $5 |
| 279d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.