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Polymarket wallet 0x3edfbb8014ad4b7de5b1ed0d7e3e5717ff974e29 · on Polymarket since Dec 9, 2024 · also shown as Illustrious-Quiet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $60 | +$5 +10% |
| XRP Up or Down on July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $54 |
| 274d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ | $53 |
| 380d | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $11 |
| 395d | Israel strikes Iran by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ | $11 |
| 462d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $5,000 |
| 467d | XRP Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown50¢ | $50 |
| 635d | Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31? | BuyNo59¢ | $59 |
| 657d | Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10? | BuyYes77¢ | $77 |
| 657d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyYes67¢ | $47 |
| 657d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyYes67¢ | $20 |
| 663d | Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | BuyYes51¢ | $51 |
| 663d | Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3? | BuyYes67¢ | $67 |
| 671d | Ripple above $2.20 on December 27? | BuyYes56¢ | $56 |
| 671d | Solana above $190 on December 27? | BuyNo47¢ | $47 |
| 677d | Ripple above $2.40 on December 20? | BuyNo49¢ | $49 |
| 677d | Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20? | BuyNo39¢ | $39 |
| 681d | Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13? | BuyYes23¢ | $23 |
| 682d | Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13? | BuyNo61¢ | $61 |
| 683d | Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13? | BuyYes46¢ | $46 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.