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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  JesusReturns2026 | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,064 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d |  DFK | US civil war in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,088 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 303d |  VegemiteLover | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,955 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 304d | Ordon | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 313d | Ordon | US civil war in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,805 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 314d |  spectral-mango-protocol | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 323d | DFK | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$26 +0.7% | 4 |
| 329d |  Schizoaffective.On.Acid | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,549 | +$23 +0.9% | 4 |
| 351d |  ondra123 | US civil war in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | −$39 −2.5% | — |
| 376d | ondra123 | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$30 +2.4% | 4 |
| 381d |  Donkov | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | +$62 +2.7% | 4 |
| 395d |  DEGENKHAN | US civil war in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,639 | −$184 −3.3% | — |
| 408d | qwertyyyy | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$75 +3.7% | 4 |
Anjun2,414 shares
DarthTyranus1,000 shares
ftsj00110 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.