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Polymarket wallet 0x400bf1480a1a81403a0415935d6ae09497d26764 · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2025 · also shown as Fond-Birdbath
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 185 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 318 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 981 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,867 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 84 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.