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Polymarket wallet 0x40a6c620bbb8a8ece27176d4e0447fc0514459e8 · on Polymarket since Aug 11, 2025 · also shown as Unsteady-Basis
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 432d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BuyYes34¢ | $10 |
| 432d | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 432d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | BuyNo44¢ | $5 |
| 432d | Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass? | BuyYes69¢ | $1 |
| 432d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? | BuyYes46¢ | $1 |
| 432d | Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday? | BuyNo1¢ | $5 |
| 432d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15? | BuyNo80¢ | $2 |
| 432d | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BuyYes39¢ | $5 |
| 438d | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | BuyNo10¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.