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Polymarket wallet 0x4151d1630820d0c7e2346463c141b215081d4165 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Aggressive-Trapdoor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $1 |
| 50d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BuyDown97¢ | $1 |
| 57d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellNo89¢ | $1 |
| 101d | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SellNo64¢ | $1 |
| 117d | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 146d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 209d | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SellNo>99¢ | $18 |
| 209d | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18 |
| 237d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.