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Polymarket wallet 0x428763bd5d56a3efc56032f8bfcd2c26c197fb12 · on Polymarket since Mar 19, 2026 · also shown as Timely-Cesspool
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +156% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 47¢ | $2 | −$1 −28% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $2 | −$0 −19% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 41¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$2 −87% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BuyYes39¢ | $2 |
| 30d | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo39¢ | $2 |
| 74d | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BuyYes65¢ | $3 |
| 94d | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BuyNo71¢ | $2 |
| 106d | Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BuyNo48¢ | $2 |
| 135d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 142d | Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BuyYes60¢ | $3 |
| 150d | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BuyYes58¢ | $2 |
| 163d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3 |
| 169d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyNo47¢ | $2 |
| 184d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $2 |
| 192d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.