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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 53% | +2 pts | 0 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $11.2K | ended |
| Karen Bass | 47% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 46¢ · 48¢ (2¢) | $1.69K | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h | Albert 19532 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes53¢ | $4,254 | +$41 +1.0% | 30 |
| 1d |  mewmew1 | Nithya Raman | SellYes50¢ → 53¢ | $2,117 | −$122 −5.8% | — |
| 1d |  ScottyNooo5 fills | Karen Bass | SellNo54¢ → 53¢ | $9,799 | +$94 +1.0% | — |
| 1d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | Karen Bass | SellYes47¢ | $3,090 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 1d | ScottyNooo2 fills | Nithya Raman | SellYes56¢ → 53¢ | $8,305 | +$348 +4.2% | — |
| 1d | dromedaryy2 fills | Karen Bass | BuyYes47¢ | $2,327 | −$21 −0.9% | 30 |
| 1d | dromedaryy3 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyNo47¢ | $13,376 | +$65 +0.5% | 32 |
| 1d | Gaditima2 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyNo53¢ → 47¢ | $2,440 | −$274 −11% | 27 |
| 1d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Nithya Raman | SellYes53¢ | $3,657 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 1d | SquirrelTheMerchant | Karen Bass | BuyYes47¢ | $1,385 | $0 0.0% | 30 |
| 1d |  Mr.Kirk | Nithya Raman | BuyYes53¢ | $1,293 | +$1 +0.1% | 19 |
| 2d | mini-man | Nithya Raman | BuyYes54¢ → 53¢ | $2,511 | −$34 −1.4% | 28 |
| 2d | Newshound2 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes45¢ → 53¢ | $2,602 | +$483 +19% | 29 |
| 2d |  Do-Not-Redeem6 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes49¢ → 53¢ | $79,424 | +$7,233 +9.1% | 31 |
| 2d | Do-Not-Redeem6 fills | Karen Bass | BuyNo48¢ → 53¢ | $26,532 | +$2,809 +11% | 31 |
| 2d | lava-lava2 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes46¢ → 53¢ | $3,593 | +$547 +15% | 31 |
| 2d | lava-lava2 fills | Karen Bass | BuyNo44¢ → 53¢ | $27,586 | +$5,402 +20% | 34 |
| 2d | StarryPath | Nithya Raman | BuyYes48¢ → 53¢ | $1,405 | +$166 +12% | 20 |
| 2d |  eightpenguins2 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes40¢ → 53¢ | $4,272 | +$1,359 +32% | 33 |
| 2d |  bernardbulletin7 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes39¢ → 53¢ | $37,191 | +$13,156 +35% | 37 |
| 2d |  Parz1vaI | Karen Bass | SellNo44¢ → 53¢ | $2,835 | −$580 −20% | — |
| 2d | Parz1vaI | Nithya Raman | SellYes44¢ → 53¢ | $1,525 | −$313 −21% | — |
| 3d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e053 fills | Karen Bass | BuyYes55¢ → 47¢ | $5,314 | −$759 −14% | 30 |
| 3d | wannatakemoney | Nithya Raman | SellYes44¢ → 53¢ | $1,162 | −$259 −22% | — |
| 3d | srfgrg | Nithya Raman | SellYes42¢ → 53¢ | $1,142 | −$295 −26% | — |
| 3d | moneymakingmachine2 fills | Nithya Raman | SellYes48¢ → 53¢ | $3,687 | −$446 −12% | — |
| 3d | wan1232 fills | Karen Bass | BuyYes47¢ | $6,594 | −$35 −0.5% | 31 |
| 3d | wan1234 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyNo49¢ → 47¢ | $17,905 | −$937 −5.2% | 30 |
| 3d |  aenews2 | Nithya Raman | SellNo49¢ → 47¢ | $2,750 | +$140 +5.1% | — |
| 4d |  realbengvir | Nithya Raman | SellNo49¢ → 47¢ | $1,001 | +$44 +4.4% | — |
| 4d | Quarzo | Karen Bass | BuyYes50¢ → 47¢ | $1,005 | −$60 −6.0% | 30 |
| 5d |  MIracle33 | Nithya Raman | SellYes53¢ | $1,304 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 7d | gm-gg-gn | Karen Bass | BuyYes46¢ → 47¢ | $4,138 | +$92 +2.2% | 31 |
| 7d |  Lucerys | Nithya Raman | BuyNo44¢ → 47¢ | $1,112 | +$57 +5.1% | 18 |
| 8d | Flipbandit | Nithya Raman | BuyYes57¢ → 53¢ | $1,106 | −$67 −6.1% | 18 |
| 8d | danypotter | Nithya Raman | BuyYes56¢ → 53¢ | $1,520 | −$82 −5.4% | 21 |
| 8d | FDTpuissance | Nithya Raman | BuyYes56¢ → 53¢ | $1,508 | −$70 −4.7% | 21 |
| 8d | BuddhaYTorrance | Nithya Raman | BuyYes55¢ → 53¢ | $2,024 | −$75 −3.7% | 24 |
| 8d | alfabetica | Nithya Raman | BuyYes55¢ → 53¢ | $4,207 | −$105 −2.5% | 30 |
| 9d | Maplesky | Nithya Raman | BuyNo46¢ → 47¢ | $2,602 | +$65 +2.5% | 29 |
| 9d | Single-Challenge | Nithya Raman | BuyYes55¢ → 53¢ | $1,000 | −$23 −2.3% | 17 |
| 12d |  HuntersMethDealer3 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes54¢ → 53¢ | $3,276 | −$60 −1.8% | 30 |
| 14d | SquirrelTheMerchant | Nithya Raman | BuyYes52¢ → 53¢ | $3,202 | +$90 +2.8% | 30 |
| 14d | sollydisa2 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes46¢ → 53¢ | $2,212 | +$340 +15% | 26 |
| 14d |  Bperil2 fills | Nithya Raman | SellYes55¢ → 53¢ | $4,587 | +$130 +2.8% | — |
| 14d | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Nithya Raman | BuyNo49¢ → 47¢ | $2,155 | −$101 −4.7% | 26 |
| 14d |  WillieBrown5 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes60¢ → 53¢ | $8,138 | −$949 −12% | 30 |
| 14d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Karen Bass | SellNo58¢ → 53¢ | $1,159 | +$100 +8.6% | — |
| 14d | cigarettes5 fills | Karen Bass | BuyYes51¢ → 47¢ | $14,479 | −$1,059 −7.3% | 30 |
| 14d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Karen Bass | BuyNo58¢ → 53¢ | $2,320 | −$200 −8.6% | 30 |
| 14d | purplegatto | Karen Bass | BuyNo59¢ → 53¢ | $1,534 | −$156 −10% | 30 |
| 15d |  suraxy | Nithya Raman | BuyYes60¢ → 53¢ | $1,000 | −$107 −11% | 17 |
| 15d | ScottyNooo10 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes60¢ → 53¢ | $101,996 | −$10,714 −11% | 30 |
| 15d | mewmew12 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes58¢ → 53¢ | $2,948 | −$240 −8.1% | 30 |
| 15d | ScottyNooo5 fills | Karen Bass | BuyNo60¢ → 53¢ | $34,516 | −$3,775 −11% | 30 |
| 15d | Bperil | Nithya Raman | BuyYes58¢ → 53¢ | $2,000 | −$164 −8.2% | 24 |
| 15d | citra6 fills | Nithya Raman | BuyYes58¢ → 53¢ | $10,433 | −$848 −8.1% | 30 |
| 15d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Nithya Raman | SellYes44¢ → 53¢ | $6,953 | −$1,540 −22% | — |
| 16d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Karen Bass | SellNo46¢ → 53¢ | $10,255 | −$1,473 −14% | — |
| 16d | Novatan | Nithya Raman | BuyNo42¢ → 47¢ | $2,256 | +$272 +12% | 27 |
ScottyNooo182,933 sharesbernardbulletin145,495 sharesDo-Not-Redeem141,485 shares
scottilicious110,230 sharesThe 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 53¢ for Nithya Raman means the market gives it about 53%.