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Polymarket wallet 0x43c46547ae28fd57e1e488b2b947b6a06b3539a6 · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Obvious-Pastor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BuyUp93¢ | $1 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BuyUp94¢ | $2 |
| 56d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BuyUp93¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SellYes25¢ | $4 |
| 95d | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BuyYes27¢ | $4 |
| 118d | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | BuyNo69¢ | $1 |
| 146d | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 207d | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BuyYes99¢ | $0 |
| 207d | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
| 207d | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BuyYes99¢ | $2 |
| 239d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SellYes97¢ | $23 |
| 239d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes97¢ | $23 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.