Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 10% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $27.2K | in 38d |
| December 31 | 14% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $19.1K | in 69d |
| October 31 | 3% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $18.1K | in 8d |
| June 30, 2027 | 26% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | $2.65K | in 250d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | luka112 | November 30 | BuyYes9¢ → 10¢ | $1,109 | +$108 +9.8% | 8 |
| 2h | luka112 | December 31 | SellYes13¢ → 14¢ | $1,047 | −$121 −12% | — |
| 11h |  zxdfbdfgngcxv3 fills | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $3,945 | +$48 +1.2% | — |
| 13h |  GoriIIa | November 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 91¢ | $8,853 | −$238 −2.7% | 9 |
| 15h | numaz | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,030 | −$19 −1.8% | 4 |
| 1d |  classified4 fills | December 31 | SellYes12¢ → 14¢ | $6,131 | −$1,205 −20% | — |
| 1d | kenzok2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes14¢ | $2,877 | +$124 +4.3% | 23 |
| 1d | BunCaCham3 fills | November 30 | SellNo92¢ → 91¢ | $4,131 | +$54 +1.3% | — |
| 2d |  Gyoo | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,230 | −$18 −1.5% | 4 |
| 2d | Skinny-Class2 fills | December 31 | SellNo87¢ → 86¢ | $6,090 | +$105 +1.7% | — |
| 2d | 3.3.36 fills | December 31 | BuyYes12¢ → 14¢ | $15,851 | +$3,794 +24% | 44 |
| 2d | caspar1248 | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 86¢ | $13,158 | −$333 −2.5% | 12 |
| 2d |  Roflan-ludoman3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $7,800 | +$14 +0.2% | 14 |
| 2d |  adonpoli2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 86¢ | $10,567 | +$601 +5.7% | 17 |
| 2d |  Tigerofthehood2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ | $21,500 | −$125 −0.6% | 13 |
| 2d | zxdfbdfgngcxv2 fills | November 30 | BuyNo91¢ | $2,822 | −$17 −0.6% | 6 |
| 2d |  tsybka | November 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 91¢ | $3,582 | +$60 +1.7% | 8 |
| 2d | leurop2 | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ | $1,290 | −$8 −0.6% | 7 |
| 2d |  tetrose | November 30 | BuyYes11¢ → 10¢ | $1,120 | −$129 −12% | 8 |
| 2d | tsybka2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ | $25,800 | −$150 −0.6% | 13 |
| 2d | asfrgth | November 30 | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,652 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 3d |  Istaroth | November 30 | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,800 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 3d | hfv | November 30 | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,794 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 3d | Misty-Server | November 30 | BuyYes8¢ → 10¢ | $2,500 | +$335 +13% | 18 |
| 3d | thoodr4 fills | November 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 91¢ | $13,512 | −$669 −4.9% | 7 |
| 3d | thoodr7 fills | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $22,884 | −$352 −1.5% | 5 |
| 3d | GoriIIa3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $24,089 | +$33 +0.1% | 14 |
| 3d |  Rolocex | November 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 91¢ | $1,163 | −$31 −2.7% | 5 |
| 4d |  Sardinianshepherd | December 31 | SellNo87¢ → 86¢ | $4,241 | +$73 +1.7% | — |
| 4d | mm4ker | December 31 | SellNo87¢ → 86¢ | $15,425 | +$337 +2.2% | — |
| 4d | mm4ker | October 31 | SellNo97¢ | $2,788 | +$6 +0.2% | — |
| 5d | zhaoyk2 fills | June 30, 2027 | SellNo72¢ → 75¢ | $11,781 | −$356 −3.0% | — |
| 6d | sldwa | June 30, 2027 | SellNo75¢ | $1,160 | +$8 +0.7% | — |
| 7d | Solid-Airfare | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 86¢ | $4,400 | +$125 +2.8% | — |
| 7d |  MrNoItAll | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,351 | −$26 −1.9% | 4 |
| 8d | ZhouCD | June 30, 2027 | SellNo76¢ → 75¢ | $3,040 | +$60 +2.0% | — |
| 8d | classified | June 30, 2027 | SellYes24¢ → 26¢ | $3,717 | −$232 −6.2% | — |
| 8d |  FelicityBright | November 30 | SellNo92¢ → 91¢ | $1,190 | +$22 +1.9% | — |
| 8d | fastandfudurious | June 30, 2027 | SellNo71¢ → 75¢ | $1,114 | −$49 −4.4% | — |
| 8d | classified | June 30, 2027 | BuyYes23¢ → 26¢ | $7,209 | +$763 +11% | 34 |
| 8d | luka112 | December 31 | BuyYes12¢ → 14¢ | $2,480 | +$482 +19% | 21 |
| 10d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | December 31 | SellNo86¢ | $54,973 | +$28 +0.1% | — |
| 11d |  ULYSSES18 | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,908 | −$23 −1.2% | 5 |
| 12d | thoodr7 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 86¢ | $25,570 | −$775 −3.0% | 12 |
| 13d |  TylerTurden2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $9,085 | +$85 +0.9% | 7 |
| 14d | stupid223 fills | November 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 91¢ | $12,661 | −$471 −3.7% | 8 |
| 14d | Parz1vaI8 fills | December 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 86¢ | $67,743 | +$845 +1.2% | 14 |
| 14d | stupid2217 fills | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $59,782 | −$643 −1.1% | 5 |
| 15d | classified | November 30 | SellNo94¢ → 91¢ | $5,377 | +$200 +3.7% | — |
| 15d | Jianyuen | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 86¢ | $2,392 | +$94 +3.9% | — |
| 15d |  BigMackyG | December 31 | SellYes11¢ → 14¢ | $1,479 | −$471 −32% | — |
| 16d | nope3050 | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $6,301 | +$81 +1.3% | — |
| 17d | nedsta4 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 86¢ | $12,495 | −$491 −3.9% | 11 |
| 17d |  TruongMyLan2 fills | December 31 | SellNo86¢ | $4,898 | +$53 +1.1% | — |
| 18d | BigMackyG | November 30 | BuyYes6¢ → 10¢ | $1,061 | +$619 +58% | 8 |
| 18d | BigMackyG | December 31 | BuyYes11¢ → 14¢ | $2,034 | +$647 +32% | 18 |
| 18d | emp992 | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 86¢ | $1,647 | +$65 +3.9% | — |
| 18d | nonkenny903 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ | $4,262 | −$33 −0.8% | 12 |
| 19d |  Tenebrus7 | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 86¢ | $1,954 | +$56 +2.8% | — |
| 19d | Tenebrus7 | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $2,199 | +$31 +1.4% | — |
classified10,662 sharestetrose10,435 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 10%.
