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Polymarket wallet 0x444058d13d3a53deeb117df613ae3bb05da2b5a8 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Excitable-Steward
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 178 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | BuyDown6¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $106 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes94¢ | $100 |
| 237d | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BuyNo17¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp94¢ | $9 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo43¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.