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Polymarket wallet 0x4494510aa305f3140cdf3a21b6e5e9c18047882a · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2026 · also shown as Definite-Disaster
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 224 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $41 | −$4 −8.1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes20¢ | $46 |
| 4h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 4h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.