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Polymarket wallet 0x44d8fff8ec1f75ffa02f19aa26dd0300f41b0c15 · on Polymarket since Jan 31, 2026 · also shown as Long-Term-Lox
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −86% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 536 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 57 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 571 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $29 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $20 |
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $5 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET | BuyUp55¢ | $10 |
| 261d | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BuyNo32¢ | $5 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ET | BuyUp7¢ | $5 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $2 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $3 |
| 265d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 265d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $2 |
| 265d | Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.