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Polymarket wallet 0x450e0430e02e6821654567e433a2cb2ef03bb6b7 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Reckless-Account
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 123 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 93 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SellUp77¢ | $14 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BuyUp60¢ | $10 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BuyUp37¢ | $1 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BuyDown66¢ | $1 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 187d | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | SellYes22¢ | $13 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BuyDown13¢ | $17 |
| 269d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ | $20 |
| 277d | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $20 |
| 278d | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.