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Polymarket · Culture
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 5% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $121K | in 69d |
| October 31 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $21.1K | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Hedgeh0g | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $5,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 5 |
| 5h | THE-BBC | December 31 | SellNo95¢ | $4,755 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 5h | THE-BBC | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $4,775 | −$1 −0.0% | 5 |
| 6h | yeslabby5 fills | December 31 | BuyYes5¢ | $15,367 | −$293 −1.9% | 35 |
| 12h | afdafdafdafdafd2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $4,954 | −$8 −0.2% | 5 |
| 13h | 18in36out2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $4,050 | −$17 −0.4% | 4 |
| 19h | ladida332 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $7,042 | +$50 +0.7% | — |
| 19h | Jiale | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $2,258 | +$10 +0.4% | — |
| 1d |  bosshog | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $2,395 | +$14 +0.6% | — |
| 1d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | October 31 | SellNo100¢ | $15,096 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Avamax4 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $25,417 | +$56 +0.2% | 7 |
| 1d | gfjt67tfjgh | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,111 | −$5 −0.5% | 4 |
| 1d | chrislilondon | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,183 | +$4 +0.4% | — |
| 2d | Singoru | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $2,344 | −$11 −0.5% | 4 |
| 2d |  Debosnys2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $4,840 | −$20 −0.4% | 4 |
| 2d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 2d | gorovi8 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $25,021 | +$256 +1.0% | — |
| 3d | -0-2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $5,216 | −$29 −0.6% | 4 |
| 3d |  Car | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $2,876 | −$19 −0.7% | 4 |
| 3d | fgy86rdgbn0500mn | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,046 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 3d | Zzzz874 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $20,462 | −$91 −0.4% | 6 |
| 3d | Flamboyant-Warming | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,677 | +$4 +0.3% | — |
| 3d | wse24 | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $2,500 | −$12 −0.5% | 4 |
| 3d | Loyal-Cat | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,000 | −$5 −0.5% | 4 |
| 3d | hgtgyu6rfgbfgy5rtddfh | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,118 | +$4 +0.4% | — |
| 3d | thanksmom2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $14,492 | −$82 −0.6% | 5 |
| 3d | lion449 | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,542 | +$6 +0.4% | — |
| 4d | alwaysOn3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $23,447 | −$16 −0.1% | 6 |
| 4d | nuser26 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $2,000 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | Numie | December 31 | SellNo95¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | y86547t687 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | hfv3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $10,417 | −$29 −0.3% | 5 |
| 4d | Dafu0715 | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,089 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 5d | Zbinik2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $27,077 | −$89 −0.3% | 7 |
| 5d | Krejza682 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $11,837 | +$31 +0.3% | 5 |
| 5d | crusader9 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $1,340 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 6d | eNakeVets | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $2,255 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 6d | nuser26 | December 31 | SellNo95¢ | $2,087 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 6d | DOGwar | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,000 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 6d | BunCaCham2 fills | December 31 | SellNo95¢ | $5,095 | +$7 +0.1% | — |
| 6d |  elmcap212 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $167,863 | −$469 −0.3% | 7 |
| 6d | hgtgyu6rfgbfgy5rtddfh | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $1,110 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 6d | Bruce0913 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $2,035 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 6d | SILIMAN | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,040 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 6d | JamesBonder0072 fills | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $9,315 | +$43 +0.5% | 5 |
| 6d | BeeYou | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 95¢ | $1,132 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $69,953 | +$176 +0.3% | 4 |
| 7d | Major-Chopsticks | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,100 | −$8 −0.7% | 4 |
| 7d | joebmx3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $12,950 | −$103 −0.8% | 5 |
| 7d |  bigdihhh888 | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,778 | −$16 −0.9% | 4 |
| 7d | joebmx | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $10,952 | −$39 −0.4% | — |
| 8d | Trump2028 | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $14,419 | +$51 +0.4% | 5 |
| 8d | Zoomertrash | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,202 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 8d | Corrupt-Lark | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,285 | −$5 −0.4% | 4 |
| 8d | Kippekok | December 31 | SellNo95¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 8d |  largeleeks888 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,752 | −$24 −0.6% | — |
| 9d | Unimportant-Locket | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $1,010 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 9d | juy99 | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ | $3,100 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 9d | Bet1nthedark | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $18,000 | −$103 −0.6% | 6 |
| 9d | Bet1nthedark | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,500 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
elmcap2389,345 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 5%.