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Polymarket wallet 0x45b8135c7a58f63e0b5f9ed202548f0208321c97 · on Polymarket since Jul 25, 2025 · also shown as Essential-Psychology
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 756 | 92¢ → 69¢ | $518 | −$181 −26% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 70 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $68 | +$13 +24% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 82¢ | $14 | +$4 +39% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 940 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$515 −100% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.