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Polymarket wallet 0x45dbbf4fed6c845f4e857edc6e744236501c8f65 · on Polymarket since Jan 3, 2026 · also shown as Aged-Wombat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60,000 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $2,550 | −$1,599 −39% |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$990 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$387 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.