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Polymarket wallet 0x45ed0e4f5e3508c51002def077549fba91b85abe · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 85 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $44 | −$6 −13% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 53¢ → 74¢ | $28 | +$8 +39% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 56 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 228 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,223 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32d | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $20 |
| 32d | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 32d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BuyNo18¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BuyNo4¢ | $10 |
| 45d | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyYes59¢ | $50 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp67¢ | $5 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $40 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BuyDown97¢ | $50 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $1 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $102 |
| 269d | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyNo4¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.