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Polymarket wallet 0x478c90627ec963ceee581d607394b7bc1111a63c · on Polymarket since Jul 25, 2024 · also shown as Important-Archer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| France train attack claimed by terror org?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 719d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes43¢ | $20 |
| 732d | Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BuyYes44¢ | $5 |
| 732d | Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October? | BuyYes62¢ | $3 |
| 732d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes40¢ | $15 |
| 818d | France train attack claimed by terror org? | BuyYes12¢ | $2 |
| 818d | Will $BTC reach 70k in July? | BuyYes57¢ | $6 |
| 819d | JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? | BuyYes10¢ | $2 |
| 819d | Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee? | BuyYes96¢ | $5 |
| 819d | Will Kamala say "Brat" before August? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
| 819d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes59¢ | $2 |
| 819d | Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26? | BuyYes77¢ | $2 |
| 819d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes35¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.