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Polymarket wallet 0x4821a34ea2a13f595b10ec744c92bf830dc4666c · on Polymarket since Jun 26, 2026 · also shown as Fat-Barometer-Bridge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 44¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +127% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +75% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4 | 58¢ → 71¢ | $3 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 78d | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes58¢ | $2 |
| 83d | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BuyYes57¢ | $2 |
| 87d | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BuyYes50¢ | $3 |
| 95d | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BuyYes57¢ | $2 |
| 99d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $2 |
| 115d | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes45¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.