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Polymarket wallet 0x4850d96bb5f69ca6b19389e66685e62d57767927 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2024 · also shown as Infatuated-Interchange
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF sentenced to life?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 870 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $30-60 billion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 582 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,414 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$990 −100% |
| BTC ETFs first week combined AUM over $60 billion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,130 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,019 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1006d | Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15% | BuyYes11¢ | $110 |
| 1006d | Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15% | BuyYes70¢ | $990 |
| 1010d | SBF sentenced to life? | BuyYes5¢ | $40 |
| 1010d | Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 1010d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $30-60 billion? | BuyYes9¢ | $50 |
| 1010d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion? | SellYes92¢ | $1,199 |
| 1010d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM under $10 billion? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 1017d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM over $60 billion? | BuyYes12¢ | $133 |
| 1017d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion? | BuyYes10¢ | $125 |
| 1017d | BTC ETFs first week combined AUM under $10 billion? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 1017d | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | BuyNo3¢ | $750 |
| 1018d | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | BuyNo7¢ | $750 |
| 1018d | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | BuyNo12¢ | $500 |
| 1020d | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | BuyNo17¢ | $2,150 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.