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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10-30b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <$10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| $30-60b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| >$60b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007d | StatisticalMan | $10-30b | SellYes>99¢ | $1,620 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1007d | gta6acc | $10-30b | SellYes>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1007d | marsxyz | $10-30b | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,857 | −$25 −0.6% | — |
| 1007d |  aenews2 | $10-30b | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,711 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1007d |  50Whence2 fills | $10-30b | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,998 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1007d |  fhantombets2 fills | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,959 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1007d |  funnyday | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,390 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1007d | 50Whence8 fills | $30-60b | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,519 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1007d | chilling | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,655 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1008d | LoseSavings | $10-30b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,276 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 1008d | LoseSavings | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1008d | 50Whence6 fills | <$10b | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $32,922 | −$605 −1.8% | — |
| 1008d | chilling2 fills | <$10b | SellNo>99¢ | $43,134 | −$121 −0.3% | — |
| 1009d | 50Whence4 fills | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,872 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1009d | Billysillywilly | $10-30b | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$106 −8.9% | — |
| 1009d |  Anjun | $10-30b | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | −$320 −8.7% | — |
| 1009d |  ccS | $10-30b | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | −$138 −8.7% | — |
| 1010d | Anon618-725 | <$10b | SellNo>99¢ | $6,188 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 1010d | Wa1 | $10-30b | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$250 +14% | 6 |
| 1010d | Anon618-725 | <$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,175 | +$25 +0.4% | 4 |
| 1010d |  ImJustKen2 fills | >$60b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,756 | +$171 +1.9% | 4 |
| 1011d |  Ferguson0500Turd | $10-30b | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $5,775 | −$2,225 −39% | — |
| 1011d | 50Whence | $10-30b | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 10 |
| 1011d | Addicted | <$10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,603 | +$57 +1.0% | 4 |
| 1011d | gta6acc | $10-30b | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$559 +34% | 8 |
| 1011d | 50Whence2 fills | >$60b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,102 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 1012d |  mcduck | <$10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,765 | +$68 +1.0% | 4 |
| 1012d | Anjun2 fills | <$10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,981 | +$99 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1012d | Anjun | $10-30b | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$466 +45% | 6 |
| 1013d | Tyelf | $10-30b | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | −$795 −49% | — |
| 1014d | marsxyz | $10-30b | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | +$1,276 +54% | 6 |
| 1015d | Ferguson0500Turd | $10-30b | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,051 | +$4,122 +102% | 6 |
| 1015d | Ferguson0500Turd | >$60b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | +$34 +1.5% | 4 |
| 1015d | StatisticalMan | <$10b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$34 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1015d | route | <$10b | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,777 | −$174 −2.0% | — |
| 1015d | hehhhhh | <$10b | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $2,855 | −$2,855 −100% | 14 |
| 1015d | Argh | <$10b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,706 | +$47 +1.7% | 4 |
| 1015d | ImJustKen | $10-30b | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$4,527 +364% | 7 |
| 1016d | lazydumpling | <$10b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,138 | +$84 +1.6% | 4 |
| 1016d |  Tenable-Dome2 fills | <$10b | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,882 | −$118 −1.5% | — |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $10-30b means the market gives it about 100%.