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Polymarket wallet 0x486cc49f65cb89670c388dd7e38eb55098578d3c · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Noisy-Monger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 78 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 350 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146d | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BuyNo73¢ | $20 |
| 185d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BuyUp24¢ | $20 |
| 185d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1AM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $30 |
| 351d | Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SellYes<1¢ | $11 |
| 351d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo93¢ | $2 |
| 351d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ | $2 |
| 351d | Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025? | BuyNo79¢ | $2 |
| 351d | Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BuyYes<1¢ | $16 |
| 351d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $8 |
| 351d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $10 |
| 351d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,042 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.