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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $2.5 | 36% | +3 pts | −16 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | $5.52 | in 69d |
| ↑ $6 | 28% | −14 pts | −4 pts | 26¢ · 30¢ (4¢) | $684 | in 69d |
| ↓ $2 | 11% | −3 pts | −11 pts | 10¢ · 12¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 69d |
| ↑ $8 | 11% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 9¢ · 12¢ (3¢) | $277 | in 69d |
| ↑ $10 | 7% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $100 | in 69d |
| ↑ $12 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| ↑ $15 | 3% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| ↑ $20 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | gydmasg | ↑ $8 | SellNo92¢ → 89¢ | $1,518 | +$52 +3.4% | — |
| 5d | amis | ↑ $8 | BuyNo92¢ → 89¢ | $1,186 | −$38 −3.2% | 3 |
| 35d | CauchyBraids2 fills | ↑ $6 | BuyYes75¢ → 28¢ | $5,958 | −$3,733 −63% | 6 |
| 50d | randomlypunting | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 50d | foxi00 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 63d | OoopsBankrupt | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 2 |
| 122d | sdasdasdad1243 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,542 | +$1,542 +100% | — |
| 141d | kageyuki | ↑ $10 | SellNo94¢ → 93¢ | $1,362 | +$15 +1.1% | — |
| 165d | jdcgo | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,386 | +$1,386 +100% | — |
| 176d | sdasdasdad1243 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 186d |  NeverYES | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $4,351 | −$4,351 −100% | 2 |
| 187d | jbauer242 fills | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $3,296 | +$3,296 +100% | — |
| 228d |  CoinTrick | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | shprota | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$64 +2.1% | 2 |
| 228d | yee1232 fills | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,996 | +$224 +2.5% | 2 |
| 231d |  VibeyQuant | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 2 |
| 241d | hypebot | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$433 +31% | 2 |
| 265d | nawatthg2 fills | ↑ $10 | BuyNo90¢ → 93¢ | $4,357 | +$107 +2.5% | 4 |
| 265d | MistahFox | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,148 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | love2bluff | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$3,037 −252% | — |
| 265d | Gruesome-Veneer | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,331 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | forge38 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,713 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 266d | BuDuZenMeYing | ↑ $10 | SellNo89¢ → 93¢ | $2,463 | −$100 −4.0% | — |
| 268d | KRIS93 | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 2 |
| 272d | clixon | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 2 |
| 278d | hubtc400 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,109 | +$2,370 +33% | 2 |
| 280d | zuzuw | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$481 +32% | 2 |
| 280d | Michel de Nostredame | ↑ $10 | BuyNo88¢ → 93¢ | $2,200 | +$115 +5.2% | 4 |
| 283d |  WolfTrades | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,923 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | cypheonz2 fills | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,807 | +$234 +6.1% | 2 |
| 283d |  silviu812 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$95 +7.7% | 2 |
| 284d | imakebigbets | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,866 | +$578 +15% | 2 |
| 284d | yuanbo | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 2 |
| 284d |  olegs | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$640 +19% | 2 |
| 285d |  SongXiaoFeng | ↑ $10 | BuyNo90¢ → 93¢ | $2,079 | +$60 +2.9% | 4 |
| 285d |  XieGuangKun | ↑ $10 | BuyNo89¢ → 93¢ | $1,537 | +$62 +4.0% | 4 |
| 286d |  chtotyt | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 286d | XieGuangKun | ↑ $6 | BuyNo63¢ → 72¢ | $1,250 | +$190 +15% | 7 |
| 291d |  Tuku | ↑ $10 | BuyNo85¢ → 93¢ | $1,700 | +$152 +8.9% | 5 |
| 291d | sklifasovsy | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,656 | −$1,656 −100% | 4 |
| 292d |  lankysco | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$168 −16% | — |
| 292d | xiapazi | ↑ $8 | SellNo79¢ → 89¢ | $2,319 | −$301 −13% | — |
| 292d | sanbengzi | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 89¢ | $2,211 | +$319 +14% | 6 |
| 292d | xiapazi | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 89¢ | $2,289 | +$330 +14% | 6 |
| 292d | gaga1 | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 89¢ | $2,377 | +$343 +14% | 6 |
| 292d | suanzao | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 89¢ | $3,019 | +$435 +14% | 6 |
| 293d | chtotyt | ↑ $8 | BuyYes21¢ → 11¢ | $1,428 | −$702 −49% | 9 |
| 293d | jbauer24 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,157 | −$2,157 −100% | 5 |
| 294d | hypebot | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 3 |
| 294d | cypheonz | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$502 +45% | 2 |
| 295d |  anamnesis | ↑ $10 | BuyNo83¢ → 93¢ | $1,134 | +$131 +12% | 5 |
AMAM1358 shares
DroolingBear44 shares
vonhalen41 shares
Maxima22 shares
AlAhmeda20 sharesWhat price will Lighter hit before 2027?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 36¢ for ↓ $2.5 means the market gives it about 36%.