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Polymarket wallet 0x48738f812650de92e468d8ed8c4fb6d2469dedd8 · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2026 · also shown as Dear-Democracy-Typhoon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$1 −26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BuyYes40¢ | $4 |
| 4d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown60¢ | $5 |
| 5d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | SellUp61¢ | $9 |
| 6d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BuyUp44¢ | $7 |
| 6d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 17? | SellDown59¢ | $8 |
| 6d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown38¢ | $5 |
| 7d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $5 |
| 8d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 16? | BuyDown58¢ | $3 |
| 9d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 14? | BuyDown77¢ | $1 |
| 9d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 14? | BuyDown77¢ | $1 |
| 13d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | BuyDown45¢ | $1 |
| 13d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | BuyDown44¢ | $1 |
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.