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Polymarket wallet 0x495d8730d4aaa6da5cf31d7646b2d389d006f1af · on Polymarket since Jul 14, 2026 · also shown as Steel-Sensitivity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 37 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 44 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.