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Polymarket wallet 0x49681ec7687422d4b7e8e8c42f28ca13c8b3f5ed · on Polymarket since Apr 10, 2025 · also shown as Informal-Cymbal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$26 +170% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 881 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$196 −100% |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 951 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 543d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes20¢ | $26 |
| 543d | Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | BuyYes6¢ | $12 |
| 543d | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes7¢ | $30 |
| 545d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes23¢ | $170 |
| 561d | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes10¢ | $29 |
| 561d | Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | BuyNo37¢ | $15 |
| 561d | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BuyYes10¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.