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Polymarket wallet 0x49bfc0f3035edd712e00a0ba972d0ddad813db20 · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2025 · also shown as Mortified-Captor
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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump positive favorability on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 367 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| New state Bitcoin reserve before March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Ron Paul audit the Federal Reserve?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,007 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,067 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 387d | Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025? | BuyYes28¢ | $1 |
| 387d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyNo23¢ | $3 |
| 609d | Trump positive favorability on March 1? | BuyYes6¢ | $22 |
| 609d | Will Ron Paul audit the Federal Reserve? | BuyYes14¢ | $15 |
| 609d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | BuyYes2¢ | $18 |
| 609d | DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips? | BuyYes2¢ | $23 |
| 609d | New state Bitcoin reserve before March? | BuyYes3¢ | $27 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.