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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. 76ersSettled - ready to redeem | Hawks | 2 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 310d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 315d | Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes67¢ | $5 |
| 321d | Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04? | BuyYes69¢ | $2 |
| 325d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SellYes82¢ | $2 |
| 325d | Hawks vs. 76ers | BuyHawks50¢ | $1 |
| 325d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 326d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyYes74¢ | $2 |
| 327d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes86¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes87¢ | $1 |
| 330d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week (November 24–30)? | SellYes21¢ | $1 |
| 330d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week (November 24–30)? | BuyYes33¢ | $1 |
| 330d | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | SellYes11¢ | $1 |
| 330d | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.