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Polymarket wallet 0x4a3f08088fbecbf830ee664ad6196340db488af6 · on Polymarket since Jul 13, 2026 · also shown as Upset-Burglar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 353 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $340 | +$1 +0.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$10 +5.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $165 | +$17 +11% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.5% |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.0% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.