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Polymarket wallet 0x4ad922a7bd6da5ca66fd46811a5a89b313a279c1 · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Calculating-Disarmament
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$20 +203% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 41¢ → 100¢ | $24 | +$14 +144% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes81¢ | $5 |
| 292d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $10 |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.