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Polymarket wallet 0x4aeb09d026363dac9dedf67e5e3a8e0122664131 · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $55 | +$25 +82% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 53¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$18 −90% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 420 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 241 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $82 |
| 285d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyNo28¢ | $5 |
| 285d | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $30 |
| 285d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes53¢ | $20 |
| 285d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyNo28¢ | $10 |
| 287d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyNo22¢ | $2 |
| 287d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $12 |
| 287d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $84 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.