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Polymarket wallet 0x4af5d9a49989b6a8d15e07ec58bf5d8da4fa1fb7 · on Polymarket since Jul 2, 2024 · also shown as Luminous-Practitioner
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $50 | −$10 −17% |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Democratic | 1,419 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$525 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$305 −100% |
| Will Shark Cat reach $1b first?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 683 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,603 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,513 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 403d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 403d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 403d | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes6¢ | $60 |
| 812d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes44¢ | $1,000 |
| 816d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $513 |
| 824d | Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyDemocratic37¢ | $411 |
| 824d | Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyDemocratic37¢ | $114 |
| 824d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellNo>99¢ | $285 |
| 843d | Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5? | BuyYes61¢ | $154 |
| 843d | Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5? | BuyYes61¢ | $151 |
| 843d | Will Shark Cat reach $1b first? | BuyYes1¢ | $4 |
| 843d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyNo35¢ | $100 |
| 843d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BuyYes42¢ | $100 |
| 843d | Will Shark Cat reach $1b first? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.