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Polymarket wallet 0x4b59bd4290a94d809b7e7313b2414e5330120b03 · on Polymarket since Jul 8, 2025 · also shown as Frizzy-Tender
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $63 | +$43 +213% |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 309 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$275 −100% |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| OpenAI social app in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 132 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 374d | Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | BuyYes89¢ | $175 |
| 374d | Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | BuyYes88¢ | $100 |
| 383d | OpenAI browser by October 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $57 |
| 389d | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellNo21¢ | $9 |
| 407d | OpenAI browser by September 30? | BuyNo75¢ | $105 |
| 409d | OpenAI browser by September 30? | BuyNo73¢ | $85 |
| 416d | Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9? | BuyNo90¢ | $76 |
| 416d | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyNo57¢ | $100 |
| 416d | Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? | BuyNo32¢ | $20 |
| 416d | US government shutdown in 2025? | BuyNo53¢ | $10 |
| 416d | OpenAI browser by September 30? | BuyNo75¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.