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Polymarket wallet 0x4bff3faf6d81dbe0b01dc1ebf16be724a1e942a4 · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2025 · also shown as Powerless-Quill
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 513 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 909 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 671 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,082 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.