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Polymarket wallet 0x4c126881edeee5cdeeddc8b37393668d22e8d4d7 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Treasured-Standardisation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 60 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $41 | +$11 +35% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Ends in 700d | Yes | 73 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $32 | +$2 +7.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 54 | 56¢ → 52¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.0% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 70 | 43¢ → 40¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d | Yes | 79 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$19 −64% |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d | Yes | 104 | 29¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$24 −81% |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,429 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyYes56¢ | $30 |
| 60d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes50¢ | $31 |
| 60d | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $31 |
| 60d | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BuyYes41¢ | $31 |
| 60d | Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BuyYes29¢ | $31 |
| 60d | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BuyYes38¢ | $31 |
| 264d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $130 |
| 291d | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | BuyYes16¢ | $15 |
| 291d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 291d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes23¢ | $30 |
| 291d | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.