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Polymarket wallet 0x4c13e17ea0407085673b660154586a15d0a10d87 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Forsaken-Ketchup
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $67 | +$37 +122% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Settled - ready to redeem | US | 45 | 67¢ → 50¢ | $22 | −$8 −25% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 125 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$27 −88% |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $19 |
| 274d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $30 |
| 274d | Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | BuyYes54¢ | $30 |
| 274d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS67¢ | $30 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.