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Polymarket wallet 0x4c1dd01173ab34914124ee0997f41dd287f20db6 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Legal-Arm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 52 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 63 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 54 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $48 | −$2 −4.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 47 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $46 | +$4 +9.7% |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 478 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $31 | −$18 −36% |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 153 | 33¢ → 15¢ | $23 | −$27 −54% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 257 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $22 | −$28 −56% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 61 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $13 | +$2 +22% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 36 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.