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Polymarket wallet 0x4c709059f6a4897e121a2234af9b1790f2b62538 · on Polymarket since Sep 28, 2025 · also shown as Shadowy-Weapon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $412 | +$58 +16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 865 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 510 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 515 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242d | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes86¢ | $354 |
| 331d | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 362d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BuyDown15¢ | $1 |
| 366d | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.