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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 116,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −81 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 102,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 106,000 | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 104,000 | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 108,000 | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 128,000 | 0% | — | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 118,000 | 0% | — | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 126,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 120,000 | 0% | — | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 110,000 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 112,000 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | guessus2 fills | ↓ 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | talkingtothemoon2 fills | ↓ 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | againwe | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,786 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | hilimitlo | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,912 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | whywego | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,222 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | yiyixiaomubiao | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,434 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | Fengwu | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,870 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d |  BlackSky123 | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,417 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 369d |  numbersandletters | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,894 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | numbersandletters | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,640 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d |  BC001 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,516 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | letmecookItalian | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,429 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 369d |  White.Monster2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,006 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | BlackSky123 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,502 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 369d | iamgone2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,344 | +$236 +0.5% | 2 |
| 369d | iamgone4 fills | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $48,436 | +$289 +0.6% | 2 |
| 369d | iamgone | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,499 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d |  oyassimi | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 369d | Abdoulay | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,605 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | AZwater | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | Strident-Fly2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,774 | +$38 +0.3% | 2 |
| 369d | ToldYouSo10 | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 369d |  BoringPunter | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,093 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | BoringPunter2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,078 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 369d | tongsile | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,695 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 369d | 8sday | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$9 +0.9% | 2 |
| 369d | 75565 | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$9 +0.9% | 2 |
| 369d | Blueskly95 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $387,874 | +$388 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | Mateo-96 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $398,121 | +$399 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | yiyixiaomubiao | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,289 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | Goahead | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | br33b | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 370d | bb1b | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 370d | mimilk | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 370d | choohkz23 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,326 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 370d | Strelik | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,111 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 370d |  borabora-836 | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$75 +2.0% | 2 |
| 370d | pokgaikid | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,568 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d |  VibeyQuant | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,926 | −$74 −1.5% | — |
| 370d | lizrytina | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | nonkenny90 | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$39 +2.7% | 2 |
| 370d | nearping | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | L2025 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,938 | +$62 +1.3% | 2 |
| 370d | Zarahome | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | BoringPunter | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,848 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | BoringPunter | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | BoringPunter | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | aadvark | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | +$108 +5.7% | 2 |
| 371d | yaokan2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,904 | +$96 +1.6% | 2 |
| 371d | elPolloLoco2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,761 | −$88 −2.3% | — |
| 371d | Ada198 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$27 +1.7% | 2 |
| 371d | affs207914 fills | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,799 | +$1,382 +16% | 3 |
| 371d | miren | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,156 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 371d | c611 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 371d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd42 fills | ↓ 100,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | −$235 −6.1% | — |
| 371d |  JaidenAnimations | ↓ 100,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$61 −6.0% | — |
| 371d | lucky26 | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,086 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 371d | malisa | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,024 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 371d | lucky6662 | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 13-19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 124,000 means the market gives it about 0%.