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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 8d | Yes | 149 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $19 | −$36 −66% |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,094 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,135 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.